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Table 2 Model validation based on clinical and external data

From: Cost-effectiveness analysis of combination therapies involving novel agents for first/second-relapse patients with multiple myeloma: a Markov model approach with calibration techniques

Survival curves

12 months

36 months

60 months

PFS2

 Modeled Vd

71.2%

21.9%

6.3%

 Observed Vd

68.6%

21.7%

8.2%

 Modeled DVd

84.7%

51.3%

32.5%

 Observed DVd

83.4%

50.7%

37.1%

 Modeled PVd

74.3%

46.1%

-

 Observed PVd

71.4%

45.3%

-

 Modeled Kd

81.3%

47.2%

-

 Observed Kd

83.2%

48.3%

-

 Modeled IsaKd

85.1%

56.8%

-

 Observed IsaKd

86.1%

57.7%

-

OS

 Modeled Vd

83.30%

51.80%

30.10%

 Modeled DVd

88.00%

63.10%

44.00%

 Modeled SVd

85.70%

57.50%

37.40%

 Modeled PVd

83.60%

52.50%

32.20%

 Modeled Kd

86.50%

59.40%

40.00%

 Modeled Rd

85.50%

58.90%

39.30%

 Modeled ERd

88.00%

64.80%

46.50%

 Modeled DRd

89.20%

67.90%

50.60%

 Modeled KRd

88.30%

65.80%

47.90%

 Modeled IxaRd

86.30%

60.80%

41.60%

 Modeled Kd

83.40%

58.00%

40.40%

 Modeled DKd

86.70%

65.20%

49.10%

 Modeled IsaKd

86.80%

65.40%

49.30%

 External OS with one prior lines

90.20%

66.30%

49.20%

 External OS with two prior lines

82.10%

58.10%

40.80%

  1. Vd bortezomib-dexamethasone, Rd lenalidomide-dexamethasone, Kd carfilzomib-dexamethasone, DVd daratumumab-bortezomib-dexamethasone, SVd selinexor-bortezomib-dexamethasone, PVd pomalidomide-bortezomib-dexamethasone, PanVd pomalidomide-bortezomib-dexamethasone, ERd elotuzumab-lenalidomide-dexamethasone, DRd daratumumab-lenalidomide-dexamethasone, KRd carfilzomib-lenalidomide-dexamethasone, IxaRd ixazomib-lenalidomide-dexamethasone, Kd carfilzomib-dexamethasone, DKd daratumumab-carfilzomib-dexamethasone, IsaKd isatuximab-carfilzomib-dexamethasone