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Table 5 Simulation of the impact of a capitation financing system by health areas for a budget of 1842 million euros. (Persons, millions, euros)

From: Predicting healthcare expenditure based on Adjusted Morbidity Groups to implement a needs-based capitation financing system

 

Covered Population

(A)

Need Index

(B)

Adjusted Population

(A) x (B)

Distribution by areas (€ mill.)

Based on Population (C)

Based on adjusted-population(D)

Based on historical cost (E)

Difference

(D)—(E)

Area I

269,627

0.98804

266,402

329

325

317

7.44

Area II

288,536

1.02234

294,981

352

360

365

-5.02

Area III

180,577

0.94054

169,840

220

207

210

-2.62

Area IV

69,947

1.01783

71,194

85

87

102

-15.28

Area V

60,828

0.90749

55,201

74

67

74

-6.96

Area VI

272,042

1.01564

276,296

332

337

294

42.76

Area VII

204,969

1.03690

212,532

250

259

260

-0.88

Area VIII

109,851

0.98745

108,473

134

132

139

-6.87

Area IX

54,874

1.02641

56,323

67

69

81

-12.59