Fig. 1

Markov and the Discrete Event Simulation models used in the analysis. P1: Probability of graft failure after transplantation; P2: Probability of death after transplantation; P3: Probability of death after graft failure; P4: Probability of death while waitlisted. T1: Time-to-graft failure after transplantation; T2: Time-to-death after transplantation; T3: Time-to-death after graft failure; T4: Time-to-death while waitlisted